TY - JOUR
T1 - Strategies, tactics, and errors in dynamic decision making in an Asian sample
AU - Güss, C. Dominik
AU - Tuason, Ma. Teresa
AU - Orduña, Llyod V.
N1 - Güss, C. D., Tuason, M. T., & Orduña, L.V. (2015). Strategies, tactics, and errors in dynamic decision making in an Asian sample. Journal of Dynamic Decision Making, 1, 3. doi:10.11588/jddm.2015.1.13131
PY - 2015/11/4
Y1 - 2015/11/4
N2 - The current study had three goals: (1) to investigate strategies, tactics, and errors as predictors of success and failure under uncertainty following the dynamic decision making (DDM) and complex problem solving (CPS) framework; (2) to use observation and to examine its reliability and potential as a data collection method when using microworlds; and (3) to investigate the applicability and validity of a microworld developed in the West, to an Asian sample. One hundred three participants in the Philippines took the role of fire chief in the microworld WINFIRE (Gerdes, Dörner, & Pfeiffer, 1993). Their strategies, tactics, and errors were observed and coded by experimenters as they worked individually on the simulation twice. Results showed that (1) DDM strategies, tactics, and errors predicted success and failure in WINFIRE, and strategies and tactics that led to success increased while errors decreased over time; (2) strategies, tactics, and errors can be validly assessed through observation by experimenters, specifically that two types of decision makers were identified: the active, flexible, and big picture planners and the slow or cautious, and singlefocused decision makers; (3) these findings together with participants’ survey ratings speak for the applicability of the microworld in an East Asian sample and for its validity. Findings are potentially relevant for experts and for training programs, highlighting the benefits of virtual environments during DDM.
AB - The current study had three goals: (1) to investigate strategies, tactics, and errors as predictors of success and failure under uncertainty following the dynamic decision making (DDM) and complex problem solving (CPS) framework; (2) to use observation and to examine its reliability and potential as a data collection method when using microworlds; and (3) to investigate the applicability and validity of a microworld developed in the West, to an Asian sample. One hundred three participants in the Philippines took the role of fire chief in the microworld WINFIRE (Gerdes, Dörner, & Pfeiffer, 1993). Their strategies, tactics, and errors were observed and coded by experimenters as they worked individually on the simulation twice. Results showed that (1) DDM strategies, tactics, and errors predicted success and failure in WINFIRE, and strategies and tactics that led to success increased while errors decreased over time; (2) strategies, tactics, and errors can be validly assessed through observation by experimenters, specifically that two types of decision makers were identified: the active, flexible, and big picture planners and the slow or cautious, and singlefocused decision makers; (3) these findings together with participants’ survey ratings speak for the applicability of the microworld in an East Asian sample and for its validity. Findings are potentially relevant for experts and for training programs, highlighting the benefits of virtual environments during DDM.
KW - strategy
KW - tactic
KW - dynamic decision making
KW - complex problem solving
KW - naturalistic decision making
KW - errors
KW - success
KW - cognitive biases
KW - microworld
KW - uncertainty
KW - virtual environment
UR - https://journals.ub.uni-heidelberg.de/index.php/jddm/article/download/13131/19021
U2 - 10.11588/jddm.2015.1.13131
DO - 10.11588/jddm.2015.1.13131
M3 - Article
SN - 2365-8037
VL - 1
JO - Journal of Dynamic Decision Making
JF - Journal of Dynamic Decision Making
IS - 3
ER -